There are 45 times more asymptomatic infections in Shanghai than confirmed cases for three reasons

People’s Daily Health Client Chen Longfei

Since March From 0:00 on the 1st to 24:00 on the 18th, Shanghai added a total of 168 new local confirmed cases and 1,678 new asymptomatic infections. The People’s Daily health client reviewed the Shanghai epidemic data and found that the number of new asymptomatic infections in Shanghai recently was several times the number of confirmed cases.

March 1-18, daily new cases in Shanghai

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3month1day – On 18, the total number of new asymptomatic infections was nearly 10 times (9.99 times). The specific situation in the past five days is as follows: On March 18, the number of new local asymptomatic infections in Shanghai was 45.75 times the number of confirmed cases; on March 17, the number of asymptomatic infections was 3.56 times the number of confirmed cases; 18.75 times; March 15, 39.4 times; March 14, 14.44 times.

In addition, the current round of epidemic in Hebei is also several times asymptomatic infections and confirmed cases. For example, on March 18, the number of new asymptomatic infections in Hebei (265) was 66.25 times that of confirmed cases (4), and the number of asymptomatic infections (193) on March 17 was 8.03 times that of confirmed cases (24).

Why are there 10 times as many asymptomatic infections than confirmed cases?

On the evening of March 18, Wu Jinglei, director of the Shanghai Municipal Health Commission, said in the “News 1+1” column that according to the Shanghai Municipal Health Commission From the analysis of local confirmed cases and asymptomatic infections, there are three main reasons. First, the invasiveness of the Ormicron strain on the respiratory tract is weaker than other previous strains; second, the effect of mass immunization of the population has greatly blocked the situation of infected persons becoming severe and critically ill; third, Rapid screening in Shanghai found most of the asymptomatic. Wu Jinglei said that in general, the clinical manifestations caused by the Omicron variant are considered mild and not harmful, but they cannot be ignored.

In addition, Jiao Yahui, director of the National Health and Health Commission’s Medical Administration and Hospital Administration, at a press conference on March 18 According to the above introduction, based on current practice, about 95% of patients are asymptomatic infections and mild cases.

How to predict the next trend of the epidemic from the current situation?

Wu Jinglei said that it is difficult to predict the current trend. At present, the preliminary judgment is that it will continue in a relatively high state for a period of time, and there may be a peak and a relatively short period of time.

Editor in charge: Xu Rongguang_0999