The cumulative number of infections in Shanghai since April has reached 293,298, and the number of new infections every day has entered a fluctuating decline. So many people have been infected, but only 9 are critically ill. Some of them are elderly people over 70 years old, and basically all have serious underlying diseases. Only one patient is a young man aged 33. With such a low severe rate, why not let it go?
First of all, our severe rate has a background. It is a figure obtained by actively preventing epidemics and adhering to the dynamic zero-clearing policy. That is to say, a large part of us have basic diseases, which are inherently certain. Patients with dangerous underlying diseases have not been exposed to the virus. This part is not within the scope of infection, and the severe rate will definitely be relatively low. If they are also infected, the severe rate will definitely be high. Everyone here must be aware that the severe rate is low. When the mortality rate is low, but when the severe rate is high, the mortality rate will be even higher. Why is this? Because of the run on medical resources, some critically ill patients will not receive good care. In fact, this is very understandable. The same 10 doctors who take care of 3 critically ill patients have a different mortality rate from taking care of 30 critically ill patients. There is a shortage of doctor resources, and when a large part of the patients are transferred to take care of the patients at the isolation point, it must be stretched to transfer manpower to treat severe cases.
Comparing with Hong Kong, it can be seen that when the epidemic is severe, the severe disease rate and the number of deaths are high. Even if the virus eventually coexists, it will cost a lot of people to die. It is not possible to achieve zero mortality in the end.
