Authoritative Interpretation | Liang Wannian: Omicron is not a big flu, and the fatality rate is 7 to 8 times that of influenza

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Some people think that the infection symptoms of Omicron are very mild , which is basically equivalent to a large flu. The existing epidemic prevention measures are too strict. Liang Wannian, head of the expert group of the leading group of the National Health Commission’s epidemic response and disposal work, said that the severity of Omicron is from two dimensions of transmission speed and case fatality rate. It is far higher than the flu, once the prevention and control is relaxed, it will cause a lot of severe illness and death.

Omicron is far more transmissible than influenza and other variants of the new coronavirus before it. In the absence of protective measures, a person can transmit an average of 9.5 people. From the perspective of the case fatality rate, the average case fatality rate of influenza in the world is 0.1%, while the case fatality rate of the Omicron variant, real-world data show that the average case fatality rate It is about 0.75%, which is about 7 to 8 times that of influenza. The fatality rate of the elderly, especially those over 80 years old, exceeds 10%, which is nearly 100 times that of ordinary influenza.

Liang Wannian, head of the expert group of the National Health Commission’s Leading Group for Epidemic Response and Disposal: Judging from China’s actual situation, the number of elderly people in China is huge. In addition to the current elderly population, the vaccination rate is still low. Not enough to form this immune barrier against severe illness and death. There are still so many children and so many immunocompromised people in China, because they have various contraindications, and some people have not been vaccinated. In this case, once we’re going to relax, leave it alone, the prospect of it can be clearly seen, and it’s definitely spread widely. Once these people are infected, multiplying his case fatality rate and his severe illness rate, I think it will cause a lot of severe illness and death. This number is huge, and it is also a huge disaster for a country and a nation.

Liang Wannian said that if a large number of severe cases occur, the medical system will be run on in turn, which will inevitably lead to unmet demand for normal medical services, forming a vicious circle, which will ultimately affect people’s normal production and life.

Reprint: CCTV News

Editor: Su Zhan

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